“Shocking ISIS Threat Exposed After Moscow Attack Is Your City Next”?
The Russian capital’s susceptibility to the threat presented by the Islamic State group and its offshoot, Isis-K, has been brutally revealed following a devastating attack on March 22, 2024. But this episode not only demonstrated Moscow’s vulnerability but also begged the important question: Could a US city be the next to fall victim?
The Islamic State Khorasan Province (Isis-K) has emerged as a formidable entity following the collapse of its parent organization in Syria, showcasing that the Islamic State’s territorial losses do not signify the end of its global ambitions. The coordinated attacks in Kandahar and Moscow on the same day indicate a deliberate effort to project strength and instill fear far beyond the group’s local stronghold.
Isis-K is indeed employing a multifaceted approach, encompassing recruitment, fundraising, and high-profile attacks to assert dominance over other jihadist groups. With a focus on the Khorasan region, including Afghanistan, Pakistan, Iran, and Central Asia, Isis-K aims to carve out a distinct identity in the crowded extremist landscape. Their calculated strategy includes challenging international security measures and expanding their influence, evident from recent activities in Iran and thwarted plots across Europe.
As per a Reuters inquiry, Sanaullah Ghafari, aged 29, has orchestrated a remarkable metamorphosis within the Islamic State’s Afghan wing, elevating it into a formidable component of the global Islamist network capable of launching attacks well beyond its Afghan bases.
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According to two informants from the Afghan and Pakistani Taliban who spoke with Reuters, Ghafari sought refuge in Pakistan’s volatile border province of Balochistan after sustaining injuries, despite rumors of his demise in Afghanistan in June of the previous year. The Pakistani Foreign Ministry has yet to offer any clarification regarding Ghafari’s current location.
Shocking ISIS
Ghafari, who was chosen to command Isis-K in 2020, has enhanced the group’s reputation for carrying out high-profile assaults and adhering to a strict creed. The suicide attack at Kabul’s international airport in 2021 during the US military’s withdrawal brought Isis-K to the attention of the world, killing 13 US troops and many civilians. Furthermore, the organization declared itself accountable for a deadly suicide attack on the Russian embassy in Kabul in September 2022.
In an announcement of a reward for information, the US State Department identified Ghafari by his combat alias, Shahab al-Muhajir, emphasizing his function as an experienced military leader in charge of planning Isis-K suicide strikes in Kabul.
After leaving Iraq, a number of foreign terrorists joined ISIS-K in the Afghanistan-Pakistan area. Their guerilla warfare experience helped the group launch strikes in Iran, Turkey, and Afghanistan. This information was provided by a senior Iraqi security officer who wished to remain anonymous.
Between the lines: US in crosshairs
With the US pulling out of Afghanistan, ISIS now has an advantage both strategically and tactically.
Isis-K capitalizes on current geopolitical tensions and historical grievances to leverage a larger anti-Western feeling by portraying the US as its main foe.
Both the 2015 mass shooting in San Bernardino, California, which left 14 people dead, and the 2016 Orlando, Florida, nightclub massacre, which left at least 49 people dead, were affected by the Islamic State organization.
The strike in the vicinity of Moscow is a clear illustration of Isis-K’s objectives and potential. In order to prevent and destroy ISIS-K’s networks, the US and its allies must adopt a watchful and diverse counterterrorism strategy that incorporates military precision, information collection, and community involvement. Given the group’s flexibility and the ideological appeal it retains among some people, the endeavor is challenging.
It’s critical to understand the fundamental motives and tactics that drive Isis-K’s operations as it continues to attack major states. Given the group’s propensity to take advantage of societal unrest and geopolitical rifts, a strictly military approach might not be adequate. In order to limit Isis-K’s reach and stop other assaults, a comprehensive approach that tackles the underlying causes of radicalization and promotes regional collaboration is essential.
Sara Harmouch, a Ph.D. candidate at American University, claims that the US has adopted a comprehensive strategy that combines military operations, information gathering, and law enforcement measures to combat the growing threat posed by affiliates of the Islamic State group.
However, US citizens are still at risk of being terrorized by ISIS affiliates. “The incident in Moscow highlights Isis-K’s determination to increase its power and raises questions about the possible threat to Western countries, particularly the US. It would be naïve to rule out the potential of an assault on American territory given Isis-K’s history and stated goals, according to American University’s Sara Harmouch.
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