Will Haley choose to withdraw from the race? Will Trump shift towards a more moderate stance? Super Tuesday is poised to provide answers to these three pivotal questions.1

Will Haley choose to withdraw from the race? Will Trump shift towards a more moderate stance? Super Tuesday is poised to provide answers to these three pivotal questions.

Super Tuesday, the significant day in March when numerous states and territories conduct their primary elections, has always been influential in reshaping presidential races. However, in 2024, this pivotal day holds the potential to address crucial questions amidst the complexities of the ongoing election cycle.

As the now-famous date approaches, Republican presidential contender Nikki Haley concludes a multi-state sprint, with Tuesday potentially serving as her final opportunity to challenge the GOP frontrunner and former President Donald Trump for the White House.

However, the spotlight isn’t solely on their race this week. In 2024, 15 states and one territory are set to host presidential primary elections on the first Tuesday in March. Voters will play a crucial role in narrowing the field of candidates in intense congressional competitions, along with participating in the first gubernatorial primary in the fiercely contested swing state of North Carolina.

Here’s a preview of what you need to be aware of leading up to Super Tuesday.

What lies ahead for Donald Trump post-Super Tuesday? Since declaring his candidacy in 2022, the ex-president has appeared to be a strong contender for the Republican presidential nomination.

While Super Tuesday itself may not secure the nomination for him — requiring 1,215 delegates, and even a sweeping victory across the country won’t quite get Trump there — it has the potential to significantly propel him closer to the finish line.

Despite his popularity among the conservative base, Trump would likely need to garner support from moderates and independents in a general election.

The Supreme Court recently ruled that Donald Trump can remain on the Colorado ballot leading up to Super Tuesday. There are indications that Trump may be initiating a shift toward a more moderate stance, particularly noticeable after his initial primary election triumph in the Iowa Caucuses in January.

In his victory speech following this historic win in the first-in-the-nation contest, Trump expressed the need for national unity, stating, “This is really time for our country to come together. It would be so nice if we could come together and straighten out the world and straighten out the problems.”

NIKKI HALEY, DONALD TRUMP
 Former President Donald Trump addresses a caucus night party in Des Moines, Iowa, on January 15, 2024. Prior to embarking on his unsuccessful White House campaign, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis was hailed as a rising star, with many Republican voters viewing him as the future of the party. However, following a contentious and aggressive primary in which Trump relentlessly attacked DeSantis for nearly a year, interviews with voters in early-voting states indicate that the Florida governor might face a challenging path if he opts to run again in 2028. (AP Photo/Andrew Harnik, File) ORG XMIT: WX106 © Andrew Harnik, AP

 

The way Trump reacts to tomorrow’s results may once again provide a glimpse into his campaign strategy: Will he embrace right-wing voters or seek support from more centrist Americans?

This decision could prove pivotal in the upcoming 2024 general election. Current polls indicate the former president holding a slight lead over President Joe Biden, his expected November rival. However, Democrats are optimistic that Trump’s polarizing image could potentially sway undecided voters in Biden’s favor.

“In these abnormal political times, the American people, who are still normal people, tend to choose normal over crazy,” emphasized Bruce Reed, a close aide to Biden, in a statement to the New Yorker.

The looming question remains: Will Nikki Haley withdraw from the race? Despite the former South Carolina governor’s repeated assertions that she has no intention of dropping out of the 2024 White House race, Tuesday’s outcomes could deal a significant blow to her campaign, sparking speculation about her next moves.

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Could she follow the path of numerous Republicans who exited the race, throwing their support behind Trump as the nominee? Alternatively, will Haley, often regarded as a moderate alternative to a potential Biden-Trump rematch, opt for an independent third-party run?

In response to the persistent inquiries, Haley continued to deflect, telling Fox News on Monday that they should direct the question to Trump regarding his support for another Republican nominee. She asserted, “I mean nobody’s asked him that. Look, the convention’s not until July. There’s a lot of time.”

Republican presidential candidate Nikki Haley is pictured speaking at a campaign event in Portland, Maine.
© Reba Saldanha, AP

 

She reaffirmed her steadfast stance against running a third-party campaign, emphasizing, “I’m a conservative Republican. I always have been, I always will be. I’m not going to do a third party; that’s not anything I’m interested in,” during her conversation with Fox News.

Despite her clear conservative identity, Haley’s precise expectations for Super Tuesday and the criteria for the continuation of her campaign remain uncertain. This ambiguity may be deliberate, especially considering the anticipated series of victories for Trump on Tuesday.

Expressing determination, Haley stated to CNN on Monday, “We’re going to do as much as we can. I want to be as competitive as we can. We certainly have numbers that we’re hoping for, but we’ll see what happens tomorrow.”

When questioned about the conditions that would warrant her staying in the race, Haley responded, “As long as we’re competitive.”

U.S. Rep. Barbara Lee, D-Calif., speaks during a televised debate for candidates in the senate race to succeed the late California Sen. Dianne Feinstein, Monday, Jan. 22, 2024, in Los Angeles. At the second senatorial debate on Feb 12, 2024, she discussed her proposal for a $50 minimum wage. © Damian Dovarganes, AP

 

Which candidates will progress in the California Senate race? Tuesday’s outcomes will determine the two contenders in the fiercely contested California Senate race who will move forward to the general election. California employs a top-two primary system, meaning the two candidates with the highest vote counts, irrespective of party affiliation, will secure spots on the November ballot.

Despite the presence of 27 candidates in the field, the probable frontrunners include three Democrats – California Representatives Adam Schiff, Katie Porter, and Barbara Lee – along with one Republican, Steve Garvey, a former Los Angeles Dodgers baseball player.

The candidates seek to fill the vacancy left by the late Sen. Dianne Feinstein, D-Calif., who passed away last year. Recent polling from the Institute of Governmental Studies at the University of California, Berkeley, revealed Garvey holding a two-point lead over Schiff, securing 27%. Schiff followed at 25%, trailed by Porter and Lee.

This latest polling suggests that Garvey may disrupt the anticipated three-way competition among the progressive candidates, potentially reshaping the dynamics of the Senate race.

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